Why All the Chicken Littles Should Calm Down

Why All the Chicken Littles Should Calm Down | Simplifying The Market

The U.S. Census Bureau recently released their 2019 Q2 Homeownership Report. Some began to see the sky falling, believing the report showed Americans may be stepping back from their belief in homeownership.

The national homeownership rate (Americans who owned vs. rented their primary residence) increased significantly during the housing boom, reaching its peak of 69.2% in 2004. The Census Bureau reported that the second quarter of 2019 ended with a homeownership rate of 64.1%, which is down from the 64.8% rate for the fourth quarter of 2018. Based on this news, some started to question the consumer’s belief in the idea of homeownership as a major part of the American Dream.

Everyone Calm Down…

It is true the homeownership rate did fall. However, if you look at the national rate over the last 35 years (1984-2019), you can see that the current homeownership rate has returned to historical norms. The 64.1% rate is equivalent to the rates in 1984 and 1994.Why All the Chicken Littles Should Calm Down | Simplifying The Market

What Will the Future Bring?

Part of the reason the homeownership rate slipped is a lack of inventory available for purchase for first-time home buyers. The demand is there, but currently, the supply is not. It seems, however, that is about to change.

In a recent report, Ivy Zelman explained that builders have finally started to increase the number of homes they’re constructing at the lower-end price points:

“Robust growth in the entry-level price point of late should translate to a reacceleration in homeownership rates moving forward.”

Bottom Line

Today, the homeownership rate sits at historic norms. In all probability, it will increase as more inventory becomes available. There is no reason for concern.

Powered by WPeMatico

Appreciation Is Strong: It Might Be Time to Sell

Appreciation Is Strong: It Might Be Time to Sell | Simplifying The Market

There’s no doubt that today’s housing market is changing, and everything we see right now indicates it is time to sell. Here’s a look at why selling now is likely to drive the greatest return on your largest investment.

Home values have been appreciating for several years now, growing at a strong, steady, and impressive pace. In fact, the average annual appreciation rate since 2012 has nearly doubled the average rate from the more normal market of the 1990s (think: pre-bubble).Appreciation Is Strong: It Might Be Time to Sell | Simplifying The MarketAppreciation, however, is projected to shift back toward normal, meaning home prices will likely keep climbing over the next few years, but they are not projected to continue to increase at such a high rate.

Here’s What That Means for Homeowners:

As noted in the latest Home Price Expectation Survey (HPES) powered by Pulsenomics, experts forecast an average annual appreciation rate closer to 3.2% over the next five years, which is more in line with a historically normal market (3.6%). The good news is, there’s still time to take advantage of the current strength of home prices by selling your house now.Appreciation Is Strong: It Might Be Time to Sell | Simplifying The MarketLooking at the projections as they stand today, 2019 is slated to drive the strongest appreciation as compared to the upcoming few years. With average home prices still on the rise, the pace at which they are predicted to continue increasing will likely soften by 2020.

Bottom Line

If you’re thinking about selling your house, now is a great time to make your move. Don’t get stuck waiting until projected home price appreciation rates potentially re-accelerate again in 2023. You’ll likely earn the greatest return on your investment by selling now before the prices start to normalize next year.

Powered by WPeMatico

How to Judge the Impact of the Next Economic Slowdown on Housing

How to Judge the Impact of the Next Economic Slowdown on Housing | Simplifying The Market

We’ve experienced economic growth for almost a decade, which is the longest recovery in the nation’s history. Experts know a recession can’t be too far off, but when will this economic slowdown actually occur?

Pulsenomics just released a special report revealing that nearly 6 out of 10 of the 90 economists, investment strategists, and market analysts surveyed believe the next recession will occur by the end of next year. Here’s the breakdown:

  • 9% believe a recession will occur this year
  • 50% believe it will occur in 2020
  • 35% believe it will occur in 2021
  • 6% believe it will occur after 2021

When asked what would trigger the next recession, the three most common responses by those surveyed were:

  1. Trade Policy
  2. Stock Market Correction
  3. Geopolitical Crisis

How might the recession impact real estate?

Challenges in the housing and mortgage markets were major triggers of the last recession. However, a housing slowdown ranked #9 on the list of potential triggers for the next recession, behind such possibilities as fiscal policy and political gridlock.

As far as the impact the recession may have on home values, the experts surveyed indicated home prices would continue to appreciate over the next few years. They called for a 4.1% appreciation rate this year, 2.8% in 2020, and 2.5% in 2021.

Bottom Line

On the same day, in the same survey, the same experts who forecasted a recession happening within the next 18 months also claimed housing will not be the trigger, and home values will still continue to appreciate.

Powered by WPeMatico

Why Now Is the Perfect Time to Sell Your House

Why Now Is the Perfect Time to Sell Your House | Simplifying The Market

As a homeowner, it’s always tempting to dream about the next big project you’re going to tackle. The possibilities are endless. Should I renovate? Should I refinance? Should I stay? Should I move? The list goes on and on.

In today’s housing market, it’s actually a great time to shift your thoughts toward selling your house and moving up into the home of your dreams. Here’s why:

Inventory is on the rise, but there’s still an overall shortage of houses for sale (less than a 6-month supply found in a more normal market), so homes are going under contract quickly. In fact, the National Association of Realtors (NAR) Realtors® Confidence Index Survey reports that right now homes are only staying on the market for an average of 27 days. That’s less than one month, an even more accelerated pace from the 36-day trend we saw last spring.Why Now Is the Perfect Time to Sell Your House | Simplifying The MarketThe same report also indicates there are more interested buyers than active sellers today, which is one of the big factors driving home prices higher.Why Now Is the Perfect Time to Sell Your House | Simplifying The Market
Why Now Is the Perfect Time to Sell Your House | Simplifying The Market
This power combination provides an ideal environment for sellers aiming to close a quick sale and earn a big return as we wrap up the summer season.

Bottom Line

There’s still time to make a move before the school year starts and the fall weather sets in. Maybe it’s time to make a change. Let’s get together to determine if selling now is the right decision for your family.

Powered by WPeMatico

Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today

Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today | Simplifying The Market

Shifting trends and industry-leading research are pointing toward some valuable projections about the status of the housing market for the rest of the year.

If you’re thinking of buying or selling, or if you just want to know what experts are saying is on the horizon, here are the top three things to put on your radar as we head into the coming months:

  1. Home prices are appreciating at a more normal rate: Home prices have been appreciating for about ten years now. Experts at the Home Price Expectation Survey, Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac, and Fannie Mae are forecasting continued growth throughout the next year, although it should be leveling-off to normal appreciation (3.6%), as we move into 2020.
  2. Interest rates are low: Over the past 30 years, the average mortgage rate in the United States has been 8.27%, and rates even peaked as high as 18% in the 1980s. Today, at 81%, the rate is considerably lower than the historical 30-year average. Although experts predict it may climb into the low 4% range in the near future, that’s still remarkably lower than our running average, suggesting a great time to get more for your money over the life of your loan.
  3. An impending recession does not mean there will be a housing crash: Although expert research studies such as those found in the Duke Survey of American CFOs and the National Association of Business Economics, are pointing toward a recession beginning within the next 18 months, a potential recession isn’t expected to be driven by the housing industry. That means we likely won’t experience a devastating housing crash like the country felt in 2008. Expert financial analyst Morgan Housel tweeted:

“An interesting thing is the widespread assumption that the next recession will be as bad as 2008. Natural to think that way, but, statistically, highly unlikely. Could be over before you realized it began.”

In fact, during 3 of the 5 last U.S. recessions, housing prices actually appreciated:Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today | Simplifying The Market

Bottom Line

With prices appreciating and low interest rates available, it’s a perfect time to buy or sell a home. Let’s get together to discuss how you can take the next step in the exciting journey of homeownership.

Powered by WPeMatico

What a Difference a Year Makes for Sellers

What a Difference a Year Makes for Sellers | Simplifying The Market

Over the last few years, many sellers have been hesitant to put their houses on the market because they feared not being able to find another home to buy.

We’ve reported on inventory shortages in the past, and it’s been a constant concern for potential buyers throughout recent years. New research shows the inventory concern is starting to decrease among potential buyers.

According to First American, the two leading obstacles to homeownership that buyers feel today are Affordability and Limited Inventory. This means the feeling that homes are less affordable has risen, while the fear of limited inventory has decreased, delivering a wealth of good news for sellers.What a Difference a Year Makes for Sellers | Simplifying The MarketAt the same time, over the past 12 months, we’ve seen a steady month-over-month increase in the number of homes coming to market for purchase. In the past, the lack of listings and available inventory slowed down the real estate market. This recent increase in current inventory has many buyers and sellers now thinking it is time to make their move – and rightfully so! For the last two months, we’ve seen over 4 months of inventory become available for sale, a promising number that’s been slowly increasing this year and creating more buying opportunities.What a Difference a Year Makes for Sellers | Simplifying The MarketTo further support the idea of an improving real estate market, Sam Khater, the Chief Economist at Freddie Mac says,

“…In the near-term, we expect the housing market to continue to improve from both a sales and price perspective.” 

Many experts, like Sam, believe the second half of 2019 will drive a stronger market than we saw at the beginning of the year. This is great news for homeowners who have put off getting their houses on the market and are now ready to make a move.

Bottom Line

What a difference we’ve seen over the course of this year! If you’re thinking of selling, now is the time as inventory is on the rise.

Powered by WPeMatico

Discount Brokers in Nutley, 5 Things You Need To Know When Selling in Nutley NJ

If you have come here looking for a Discount Brokerage to sell your home in Nutley STOP! and Go here!

We are not a discount Brokerage in Nutley New Jersey, We Are a FULL SERVICE REAL ESTATE MARKETING COMPANY in Nutley NJ and we do have a 99% Success Rate When Selling Your Home in Nutley New Jersey

Nutley is located 12 miles from NYC and is a great town for first time home buyers moving from NYC to NJ, Close to all Major roads as well as the New Medical School in Nutley New Jersey, and the new future home of Quest Diagnostics, The average home price is $35ok – $450k you can get a nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home in one of Nutley’s gorgeous sections. Nutley has several sections, The Washington Section, The Yantcaw Section, The Radcliffe Section, The Spring Garden Section and the Lincoln section of Nutley New Jersey. Here are some of the latest homes I have sold in Nutley recently.

5 Enclosure in Nutley New Jersey Was Sold for $539,000.00

This  home is a 4 Bedroom 2 Full Bath & 2 Half Bath Located in the Yanticaw Section of Town, This home was built in 1886 and totally renovated in 2018

SOLD BY MATTHEW DE FEDE of REALTY EXECUTIVES ELITE HOMES

To see More of This Home Click Here

5 Enclosure St Nutley NJ 07110

What Discount Brokers Won’t  Do For You

1. Photograph Your Home, You will have to pay extra for real good photos

2.Will Not Supply You With A Virtual Tour, You would also have to play for that

3. Market The Property Daily, They just put the home on the MLS

4. Will not negotiate your deal and handle home inspection issues etc.

5. Will Not Pick Up The Phone On A Sunday Night at 8pm When You Have a Question.

 

23 Taft St. in Nutley New Jersey

This home was a 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home in The Lincoln Section of Nutley New Jersey

SOLD BY MATTHEW DE FEDE of REALTY EXECUTIVES ELITE HOMES

To see More of This Home Click Here

23 Taft in Nutley New Jersey

Living In Nutley New Jersey

 

Franklin Avenue & High Street

Franklin Avenue & High Street

Established in the late 17th century by Dutch and English settlers on the west bank of the Passaic River, Nutley has retained its small town atmosphere through the centuries. Competently governed by a board of commissioners and home to one of the nation’s premier pharmaceutical companies, Hoffmann-La Roche, it is a stable and progressive community, whose residents voluntarily staff the emergency and rescue squad and most of the fire department.

Through the years, the town has had its share of notable residents, including Annie Oakley, Martha Stewart, well-known artists, a countess, a Swiss baron, a baroness and members of Jackie Kennedy’s family. It is basically a residential community and boasts a park in every neighborhood. The New York skyline is visible from any hill in town and Manhattan is just a short bus ride away. An excellent school system is maintained at a cost far lower than surrounding communities and major colleges and universities are within easy commuting distance.

The Nutley Oval

The Nutley Oval

Perhaps Nutley’s charm and appeal is most evident by the fact that families stay in town from generation to generation and grandchildren and great grandchildren walk the same streets their ancestors trod. Nutley is conveniently located just eleven miles straight out from NYC. The township is comfortably saddled between the Passaic River, Route 3, the GSP and the township of Belleville to the south.

NUTLEY TOWNSHIP WEBSITES
NutleyNJ (Official Township Web Site.)
NJ Hometown
www.Nutleynet.com
www.oldnutley.org
www.nutleyschools.org/
www.nutleytown.com/
www.nj.com/nutley/
www.northjersey.com/towns/Nutley.html
List of Civic Members
Check out these websites for statistics about Nutley: www.zip-codes.com and www.yahoo/neighborhoods.com

IMPORTANT TELEPHONE NUMBERS AND ADDRESSES
• Town Hall: 1 Kennedy Drive, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-284-4951 / Fax: 973-284-4901 – Website
• Emergency and Rescue Squad: 119 Chestnut Street, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-667-7487*
• Police and Fire Departments: 228 Chestnut Street, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-284-4940*
• Board of Education: 375 Bloomfield Avenue, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-661-3500 – Website
• Nutley Free Public Library: 93 Booth Drive, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-667-0405 – Website
*In the event of an emergency, dial 911.

Yantacaw Park

Yantacaw Park

Kingsland Manor

Kingsland Manor

The Black Prince Distilleries

The Black Prince Distilleries

The Enormous Divide Between the Headline and the Truth

The Enormous Divide Between the Headline and the Truth | Simplifying The Market

“I have observed that not the man who hopes when others despair, but the man who despairs when others hope, is admired by a large class of persons as a sage.” – John Stuart Mill (1840s)

Even back in the mid-1800s, people knew that negative news sells. That is still true today. All forms of media realize that they will get more eyeballs, clicks, likes, and engagement by posting something negative. However, they must realize that negative headlines impact markets.

Just last week, the National Association of Home Builders released a survey revealing:

“Negative media reports making buyers cautious was a significant problem for 48% of builders in 2018, but 62% expect it to be a problem in 2019.”

Even today, good news is headlined with a negative spin in order to get attention. Here are two recent examples from mainstream media:

Actual Headline #1: Cash-out refis are back – will homes become ATMs again?

The real story: The headline is accurate – to a point. It is true that the percentage of refinances in which the homeowner received cash at the closing has increased to levels that existed in 2006. However, the actual amount of equity homeowners “cashed-out” compared to a decade ago isn’t close.

The dollar amount cashed-out last year was $63 billion. That seems like a really large number until we compare it to 2006, when homeowners cashed-out $321 billion. That is more than five times the current amount.

In 2006, people did use their homes as ATMs. They purchased new cars, boats, and lavish vacations. Today, the cashed-out equity is being used to consolidate debt, as seed capital for a new business, or to help a child with their college tuition.

Actual Headline: Consumer Debt hits $4 Trillion. Americans are diving deeper and deeper into debt.

The real story: The first sentence of the headline is accurate. The second sentence couldn’t be further from the truth. Total consumer debt is the highest it has ever been. That’s because the population continues to grow, and so does the economy (prices and wages).

The important number is how that total debt ranks as a percentage of disposable personal income. That percentage is the lowest ever recorded!! People are not “diving deeper and deeper into debt”. The exact opposite is true. They have less debt now than ever before.

Bottom Line

If you are thinking about buying or selling a home, it is important that you have a true professional handling your real estate needs. Someone who knows the truth about the current economy and its potential impact on the housing market.

Powered by WPeMatico

Why It Makes No Sense to Wait for Spring to Sell

Why It Makes No Sense to Wait for Spring To Sell | Simplifying The Market

The price of any item (including residential real estate) is determined by the theory of ‘supply and demand.’ If many people are looking to buy an item and the supply of that item is limited, the price of that item increases.

The supply of homes for sale dramatically increases every spring, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). As an example, here is what happened to housing inventory at the beginning of 2018:

Why It Makes No Sense to Wait for Spring To Sell | Simplifying The Market

Putting your home on the market now, rather than waiting for increased competition in the spring, might make a lot of sense.

Bottom Line

Buyers in the market during the winter are truly motivated purchasers and they want to buy now. With limited inventory currently available in most markets, sellers are in a great position to negotiate.

Powered by WPeMatico

Home For Sale in Nutley New Jersey – 4 Bedroom Tudor

Totally Renovated Home in the Yanticaw Section of Nutley, Old World Charm With All Of Today’s Amenities Any Home Buyer Would Want, Granite, Stainless, Finished Basement & Finished Attic A Must See!

What I Love About The Home

This home has the old world charm with the solid build, better than homes that are built today! Close to Parks, Schools & Major Roads, Easy Commute to NYC
Show Buttons
Share On Facebook
Share On Twitter
Share On Google Plus
Share On Linkedin
Share On Pinterest
Share On Youtube
Share On Reddit
Share On Stumbleupon
Contact us
Hide Buttons