Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today

Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today | Simplifying The Market

Shifting trends and industry-leading research are pointing toward some valuable projections about the status of the housing market for the rest of the year.

If you’re thinking of buying or selling, or if you just want to know what experts are saying is on the horizon, here are the top three things to put on your radar as we head into the coming months:

  1. Home prices are appreciating at a more normal rate: Home prices have been appreciating for about ten years now. Experts at the Home Price Expectation Survey, Mortgage Bankers Association, Freddie Mac, and Fannie Mae are forecasting continued growth throughout the next year, although it should be leveling-off to normal appreciation (3.6%), as we move into 2020.
  2. Interest rates are low: Over the past 30 years, the average mortgage rate in the United States has been 8.27%, and rates even peaked as high as 18% in the 1980s. Today, at 81%, the rate is considerably lower than the historical 30-year average. Although experts predict it may climb into the low 4% range in the near future, that’s still remarkably lower than our running average, suggesting a great time to get more for your money over the life of your loan.
  3. An impending recession does not mean there will be a housing crash: Although expert research studies such as those found in the Duke Survey of American CFOs and the National Association of Business Economics, are pointing toward a recession beginning within the next 18 months, a potential recession isn’t expected to be driven by the housing industry. That means we likely won’t experience a devastating housing crash like the country felt in 2008. Expert financial analyst Morgan Housel tweeted:

“An interesting thing is the widespread assumption that the next recession will be as bad as 2008. Natural to think that way, but, statistically, highly unlikely. Could be over before you realized it began.”

In fact, during 3 of the 5 last U.S. recessions, housing prices actually appreciated:Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Three Things to Know Today | Simplifying The Market

Bottom Line

With prices appreciating and low interest rates available, it’s a perfect time to buy or sell a home. Let’s get together to discuss how you can take the next step in the exciting journey of homeownership.

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What a Difference a Year Makes for Sellers

What a Difference a Year Makes for Sellers | Simplifying The Market

Over the last few years, many sellers have been hesitant to put their houses on the market because they feared not being able to find another home to buy.

We’ve reported on inventory shortages in the past, and it’s been a constant concern for potential buyers throughout recent years. New research shows the inventory concern is starting to decrease among potential buyers.

According to First American, the two leading obstacles to homeownership that buyers feel today are Affordability and Limited Inventory. This means the feeling that homes are less affordable has risen, while the fear of limited inventory has decreased, delivering a wealth of good news for sellers.What a Difference a Year Makes for Sellers | Simplifying The MarketAt the same time, over the past 12 months, we’ve seen a steady month-over-month increase in the number of homes coming to market for purchase. In the past, the lack of listings and available inventory slowed down the real estate market. This recent increase in current inventory has many buyers and sellers now thinking it is time to make their move – and rightfully so! For the last two months, we’ve seen over 4 months of inventory become available for sale, a promising number that’s been slowly increasing this year and creating more buying opportunities.What a Difference a Year Makes for Sellers | Simplifying The MarketTo further support the idea of an improving real estate market, Sam Khater, the Chief Economist at Freddie Mac says,

“…In the near-term, we expect the housing market to continue to improve from both a sales and price perspective.” 

Many experts, like Sam, believe the second half of 2019 will drive a stronger market than we saw at the beginning of the year. This is great news for homeowners who have put off getting their houses on the market and are now ready to make a move.

Bottom Line

What a difference we’ve seen over the course of this year! If you’re thinking of selling, now is the time as inventory is on the rise.

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Discount Brokers in Nutley, 5 Things You Need To Know When Selling in Nutley NJ

If you have come here looking for a Discount Brokerage to sell your home in Nutley STOP! and Go here!

We are not a discount Brokerage in Nutley New Jersey, We Are a FULL SERVICE REAL ESTATE MARKETING COMPANY in Nutley NJ and we do have a 99% Success Rate When Selling Your Home in Nutley New Jersey

Nutley is located 12 miles from NYC and is a great town for first time home buyers moving from NYC to NJ, Close to all Major roads as well as the New Medical School in Nutley New Jersey, and the new future home of Quest Diagnostics, The average home price is $35ok – $450k you can get a nice 3 bedroom 2 bath home in one of Nutley’s gorgeous sections. Nutley has several sections, The Washington Section, The Yantcaw Section, The Radcliffe Section, The Spring Garden Section and the Lincoln section of Nutley New Jersey. Here are some of the latest homes I have sold in Nutley recently.

5 Enclosure in Nutley New Jersey Was Sold for $539,000.00

This  home is a 4 Bedroom 2 Full Bath & 2 Half Bath Located in the Yanticaw Section of Town, This home was built in 1886 and totally renovated in 2018

SOLD BY MATTHEW DE FEDE of REALTY EXECUTIVES ELITE HOMES

To see More of This Home Click Here

5 Enclosure St Nutley NJ 07110

What Discount Brokers Won’t  Do For You

1. Photograph Your Home, You will have to pay extra for real good photos

2.Will Not Supply You With A Virtual Tour, You would also have to play for that

3. Market The Property Daily, They just put the home on the MLS

4. Will not negotiate your deal and handle home inspection issues etc.

5. Will Not Pick Up The Phone On A Sunday Night at 8pm When You Have a Question.

 

23 Taft St. in Nutley New Jersey

This home was a 3 Bedroom 1.5 Bath Home in The Lincoln Section of Nutley New Jersey

SOLD BY MATTHEW DE FEDE of REALTY EXECUTIVES ELITE HOMES

To see More of This Home Click Here

23 Taft in Nutley New Jersey

Living In Nutley New Jersey

 

Franklin Avenue & High Street

Franklin Avenue & High Street

Established in the late 17th century by Dutch and English settlers on the west bank of the Passaic River, Nutley has retained its small town atmosphere through the centuries. Competently governed by a board of commissioners and home to one of the nation’s premier pharmaceutical companies, Hoffmann-La Roche, it is a stable and progressive community, whose residents voluntarily staff the emergency and rescue squad and most of the fire department.

Through the years, the town has had its share of notable residents, including Annie Oakley, Martha Stewart, well-known artists, a countess, a Swiss baron, a baroness and members of Jackie Kennedy’s family. It is basically a residential community and boasts a park in every neighborhood. The New York skyline is visible from any hill in town and Manhattan is just a short bus ride away. An excellent school system is maintained at a cost far lower than surrounding communities and major colleges and universities are within easy commuting distance.

The Nutley Oval

The Nutley Oval

Perhaps Nutley’s charm and appeal is most evident by the fact that families stay in town from generation to generation and grandchildren and great grandchildren walk the same streets their ancestors trod. Nutley is conveniently located just eleven miles straight out from NYC. The township is comfortably saddled between the Passaic River, Route 3, the GSP and the township of Belleville to the south.

NUTLEY TOWNSHIP WEBSITES
NutleyNJ (Official Township Web Site.)
NJ Hometown
www.Nutleynet.com
www.oldnutley.org
www.nutleyschools.org/
www.nutleytown.com/
www.nj.com/nutley/
www.northjersey.com/towns/Nutley.html
List of Civic Members
Check out these websites for statistics about Nutley: www.zip-codes.com and www.yahoo/neighborhoods.com

IMPORTANT TELEPHONE NUMBERS AND ADDRESSES
• Town Hall: 1 Kennedy Drive, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-284-4951 / Fax: 973-284-4901 – Website
• Emergency and Rescue Squad: 119 Chestnut Street, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-667-7487*
• Police and Fire Departments: 228 Chestnut Street, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-284-4940*
• Board of Education: 375 Bloomfield Avenue, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-661-3500 – Website
• Nutley Free Public Library: 93 Booth Drive, Nutley, NJ 07110 – Phone: 973-667-0405 – Website
*In the event of an emergency, dial 911.

Yantacaw Park

Yantacaw Park

Kingsland Manor

Kingsland Manor

The Black Prince Distilleries

The Black Prince Distilleries

The Enormous Divide Between the Headline and the Truth

The Enormous Divide Between the Headline and the Truth | Simplifying The Market

“I have observed that not the man who hopes when others despair, but the man who despairs when others hope, is admired by a large class of persons as a sage.” – John Stuart Mill (1840s)

Even back in the mid-1800s, people knew that negative news sells. That is still true today. All forms of media realize that they will get more eyeballs, clicks, likes, and engagement by posting something negative. However, they must realize that negative headlines impact markets.

Just last week, the National Association of Home Builders released a survey revealing:

“Negative media reports making buyers cautious was a significant problem for 48% of builders in 2018, but 62% expect it to be a problem in 2019.”

Even today, good news is headlined with a negative spin in order to get attention. Here are two recent examples from mainstream media:

Actual Headline #1: Cash-out refis are back – will homes become ATMs again?

The real story: The headline is accurate – to a point. It is true that the percentage of refinances in which the homeowner received cash at the closing has increased to levels that existed in 2006. However, the actual amount of equity homeowners “cashed-out” compared to a decade ago isn’t close.

The dollar amount cashed-out last year was $63 billion. That seems like a really large number until we compare it to 2006, when homeowners cashed-out $321 billion. That is more than five times the current amount.

In 2006, people did use their homes as ATMs. They purchased new cars, boats, and lavish vacations. Today, the cashed-out equity is being used to consolidate debt, as seed capital for a new business, or to help a child with their college tuition.

Actual Headline: Consumer Debt hits $4 Trillion. Americans are diving deeper and deeper into debt.

The real story: The first sentence of the headline is accurate. The second sentence couldn’t be further from the truth. Total consumer debt is the highest it has ever been. That’s because the population continues to grow, and so does the economy (prices and wages).

The important number is how that total debt ranks as a percentage of disposable personal income. That percentage is the lowest ever recorded!! People are not “diving deeper and deeper into debt”. The exact opposite is true. They have less debt now than ever before.

Bottom Line

If you are thinking about buying or selling a home, it is important that you have a true professional handling your real estate needs. Someone who knows the truth about the current economy and its potential impact on the housing market.

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Why It Makes No Sense to Wait for Spring to Sell

Why It Makes No Sense to Wait for Spring To Sell | Simplifying The Market

The price of any item (including residential real estate) is determined by the theory of ‘supply and demand.’ If many people are looking to buy an item and the supply of that item is limited, the price of that item increases.

The supply of homes for sale dramatically increases every spring, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). As an example, here is what happened to housing inventory at the beginning of 2018:

Why It Makes No Sense to Wait for Spring To Sell | Simplifying The Market

Putting your home on the market now, rather than waiting for increased competition in the spring, might make a lot of sense.

Bottom Line

Buyers in the market during the winter are truly motivated purchasers and they want to buy now. With limited inventory currently available in most markets, sellers are in a great position to negotiate.

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Home For Sale in Nutley New Jersey – 4 Bedroom Tudor

Totally Renovated Home in the Yanticaw Section of Nutley, Old World Charm With All Of Today’s Amenities Any Home Buyer Would Want, Granite, Stainless, Finished Basement & Finished Attic A Must See!

What I Love About The Home

This home has the old world charm with the solid build, better than homes that are built today! Close to Parks, Schools & Major Roads, Easy Commute to NYC

Essex Park in Belleville NJ, Just Listed – Grandville Unit

I just listed this gorgeous Grandville Unit at Essex Park in Belleville New Jersey

Essex Park in Belleville New Jersey

The #1 Reason to Not Wait Until Spring to Sell Your House

The #1 Reason to Not Wait Until Spring to Sell Your House | Simplifying The Market

Many sellers believe that spring is the best time to place their homes on the market because buyer demand traditionally increases at that time of year, but what they don’t realize is that if every homeowner believes the same thing, then that is when they will have the most competition!

The #1 Reason to List Your Home in the Winter Months is Less Competition!

Housing supply traditionally shrinks at this time of year, so the choices buyers have will be limited. The chart below was created using the months’ supply of listings from the National Association of Realtors.

The #1 Reason to Not Wait Until Spring to Sell Your House | Simplifying The Market

As you can see, the ‘sweet spot’ to list your home for the most exposure naturally occurs in the late fall and winter months (November – February). 

Temperatures aren’t the only thing that heats up in the spring – so do listings!

The #1 Reason to Not Wait Until Spring to Sell Your House | Simplifying The Market

In 2017, listings increased by nearly half a million houses from December to June. Don’t wait for these listings to come to market before you decide to list your house.

Added Bonus: Only Serious Buyers Are Out in the Winter

At this time of year, only those purchasers who are serious about buying a home will be in the marketplace. You and your family will not be bothered and inconvenienced by mere ‘lookers.’ The lookers are at the mall or online doing their holiday shopping.

Bottom Line

If you have been debating whether or not to sell your home and are curious about market conditions in your area, let’s get together to help you decide the best time to list your house for sale.

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Are Homeowners Renovating to Sell or to Stay?

Are Homeowners Renovating to Sell or to Stay? | Simplifying The Market

Over the past few years, two trends have emerged in the housing market:

  1. Home renovations have shot up
  2. Inventory of homes available for sale on the market has dropped

A ‘normal’ housing market is defined by having a 6-month supply of homes for sale. According to the latest Existing Home Sales Report from the National Association of Realtors, we are currently at a 4.4-month supply.

This low inventory environment has many current homeowners worried that they would be unable to find a home to buy if they were to list and sell their current houses, which is causing many homeowners to instead renovate their homes in an attempt to fit their needs.

According to Home Advisor, homeowners spent an average of $6,649 on home improvements over the last 12 months. If that number seems high, it also includes homeowners who recently bought fixer-uppers.

A new study from Zillow asked the question,

“Given a choice between spending a fixed amount of money on a down payment for a new home or fixing up their current home, what would you do?”

Seventy-six percent of those surveyed said that they would rather renovate their current homes than move. The results are broken down by generation below.

Are Homeowners Renovating to Sell or to Stay? | Simplifying The Market

More and more studies are coming out about the intention that many Americans have to ‘age in place’ (or retire in the area in which they live). Among retirees, 91% would prefer to renovate than spend their available funds on a down payment on a new home.

If their current house fits their needs as far as space and accessibility are concerned, then a renovation could make sense. But if renovations will end up changing the identity of the home and impacting resale value, then the renovations may end up costing them more in the long run.

With home prices increasing steadily for the last 6.5 years, homeowners have naturally gained equity that they may not even be aware of. Listing your house for sale in this low-competition environment could net you more money than your renovations otherwise would.

Bottom Line

If you are one of the many homeowners who is thinking about remodeling instead of selling, let’s get together to help you make the right decision for you based on the demand for your house in today’s market.

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5 Real Estate Reality TV Myths Explained

5 Real Estate Reality TV Myths Explained | Simplifying The Market

Have you ever been flipping through the channels, only to find yourself glued to the couch in an HGTV binge session? We’ve all been there, watching entire seasons of “Love it or List it,” “Million Dollar Listing,” “House Hunters,” “Property Brothers,” and so many more all in one sitting.

When you’re in the middle of your real estate themed show marathon, you might start to think that everything you see on TV must be how it works in real life, but you may need a reality check.

Reality TV Show Myths vs. Real Life:

Myth #1: Buyers look at 3 homes and decide to purchase one of them.
Truth: There may be buyers who fall in love and buy the first home they see, but according to the National Association of Realtors the average homebuyer tours 10 homes as a part of their search.  

Myth #2: The houses the buyers are touring are still for sale.
Truth: Everything is staged for TV. Many of the homes being shown are already sold and are off the market. 

Myth #3: The buyers haven’t made a purchase decision yet.
Truth: Since there is no way to show the entire buying process in a 30-minute show, TV producers often choose buyers who are further along in the process and have already chosen a home to buy. 

Myth #4: If you list your home for sale, it will ALWAYS sell at the open house.
Truth: Of course, this would be great! Open houses are important to guarantee the most exposure to buyers in your area but are only a PIECE of the overall marketing of your home. Keep in mind that many homes are sold during regular listing appointments as well. 

Myth #5: Homeowners decide to sell their homes after a 5-minute conversation.
Truth: Similar to the buyers portrayed on the shows, many of the sellers have already spent hours deliberating the decision to list their homes and move on with their lives/goals.

Bottom Line

Having an experienced professional on your side while navigating the real estate market is the best way to guarantee that you can make the home of your dreams a reality!

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